Archive for December, 2009

Raycom Power Poll

Saturday, December 26th, 2009

Sponsored by the Raycom Maryland blog & Testudo Times we’ll be ranking the ACC teams each week. Feel free to complain and argue with how we rank ‘em.

ACC Weekly scores

1. Duke – Fresh off a 76-41 drubbing of Gonzaga and a sound thumping of Gardner-Webb, we have to move them up to the top spot.

2. UNC – last week’s #1 moves down after being out-efforted by Texas. I watched it and it seemed like they were totally outmatched and played terribly sloppy. Plus, I hate Roy.

3. FSU – Whether I think Clemson is better or not seems irrelevant, they just defeated Georgia Tech in Atlanta in OT, so they’ve beaten someone in the ACC on the road and deserve it. They also defeated Auburn (who beat UVA) and Georgia State this week.

4. Georgia Tech – beat UT-C, Arkansas Pine-Bluff, and lost to FSU in OT at home.

5. Clemson – beat Furman, ECU on the road, and CofC pretty soundly.

6. Wake Forest – will have beaten NC State at home, UNC-Wilmington and Elon

7. Maryland - difficult to get a good read on exactly where to put the Terps. Their 3 losses have been to Cinci, ‘Nova, and Wisconsin.

8. V. Tech – Beat Penn State last week, Charleston Southern this week

9. Miami – beat Stetson and FAU soundly

10. NC State – loses to Wake on the road, beat Elon by 3. Also beat Auburn earlier this year. Hard to get a great read on them so far.

11. BC – lost to Rhode Island 80-69, beat Bryant….wherever the heck that is. However they have beaten Miami 61-60 in Mass.

12. Virginia – is pretty bad.

Last week’s rankings

A Look At Clemson

Wednesday, December 16th, 2009

clemsonCould it be that Clemson is becoming a basketball school? If Oliver Purnell keeps up this pace, that may very well be the case. Consider- Clemson has won 72 games over the last three years, the highest total in school history. They have finished in the upper division of the ACC the last two years, something Clemson hasn’t done since the mid-sixties. They have finished in the final AP top 25 each of the last two years, a first in school history . And, Oliver Purnell has increased his team’s winning percentage each of the last 5 years, something only Bobby Cremins can claim in ACC history. These numbers confirm what Clemson fans already know- Purnell has built a program.

He will be challenged this year to continue this ascent in the league. Gone are key perimeter players K.C. Rivers and Terrence Oglesby along with the reliable Raymond Sykes. They knew the senior Rivers would be going but Oglesby’s departure was a surprise. He decided to leave school early to play pro ball overseas. This leaves a huge hole on the perimeter for the Tigers to fill. This represents 55% of Clemson’s offense and three starters that must be replaced.

They do have one of the best returning players in the league to lead them. Trevor Booker plays bigger than any 6′7″ player in the country. He averaged a double-double in league play and figures to vie for POY honors. They do need to find him more than 10 field goal attempts per game. Point guard should be a strength with Demontez Stitt and Andre Young back. Stitt is a great penetrator who needs to improve his jump shot. Young is a reliable ball handler who can provide some solid three-point shooting. Jerai Grant had a solid summer and is a prototypical Purnell player – long, athletic and high energy on defense. The X-factor could be David Potter. He showed flashes last year and would help dramatically if he can blossom into a double figure scorer.

The freshman class is outstanding. 6′9″ Milton Jennings is the First McDonalds AA at Clemson since the early 90’s. Jennings has good range and should be a good complement to Booker up front. Speaking of Booker, Trevor’s brother Devin joins him at Clemson. They are similar in size and he should be a solid backup for big brother. Noel Johnson was added late after having been released from his scholarship at Southern Cal. Purnell had recruited him in high school so it turned out to be a good fit. Donte Hill is the final piece of this class. He put impressive numbers in high school averaging 23 points and 14 rebounds a game. All four of these players will compete for significant minutes immediately.

While Clemson did post an excellent 23-9 record last year, they stumbled down the stretch, losing five of their last six games, including their first round ACC Tournament and NCAA tournament games. They must find a way to build into March and gain momentum. This yearÕs team will be more athletic and better defensively than last years. .However, trying to find reliable three-point shooting to replace Rivers and Oglesby will be a key. They must find a way to spread teams out on defense to give Booker room to operate. If the freshmen play as advertised, there is no reason why this team shouldn’t be back in the NCAAs for a third consecutive year.

–Mike Gminski

Clemson Basketball: Midterm grades

Sunday, December 13th, 2009

The semester is over. Classes may be out, but  basketball season is just starting to get under way. And while the Tigers did the national collapse against Illinois in the ACC-Big Ten Challenge, they have made strides and hopefully will not have the same performance anxiety as the ACC season starts in January.

Right now the team as a whole is not performing to the best of their ability. I think they know this;  they know this; OP knows this. How will they overcome this psychological hurdle- I don’t know. However, it is time to get it going.

This week, the Tigers begin a  tune-up stretch against Furman before the opening of ACC play at Duke on January 3rd. And though the stretch has a few  trap games- at East Carolina, 10-1 Western Carolina, who beat Louisville in Louisville and Bradley at Bradley, and the dangerous College of Charleston- the Tigers should win all of these games.

But, after the performance against Illinois, every game, every possession needs to be played like it is the last second. If not, this is going to be a long disappointing season.
Defensively, the Tigers have shown different looks playing some three quarter and half court traps along with man-to-man zones, and peppered with the OP press. However, the team looks porous at times, or else every coach has figured out how to maneuver around, over, or through or defense.

Midterm Report

Stitt: B+; He is starting to show his ability and growth as a player in OP’s system. He still needs to shore up the turnovers, but his shooting and strength are much improved.

T. Booker: B; lacking some consistency in his desire and drive. He had a career-high assist game, and showed he is an adept passer last game against USC, needs to be more assertive around the basket. Just having the ball in Booker’s hand is a step in the right offensive direction.

Smith: A, he plays with hustle and desire on every play. If +/- were an actual basketball statistic, his would always be +. He contributes and goes all out on every possession he’s on the floor.

Narcisse: B-, he comes out of nowhere; he plays with raw energy, but still makes some costly mistakes. A solid bench minutes player

Young: A, I think our best team is on the floor when he is out there. He gives the team speed, shooting, passing, and heart.

Grant: C, Had a good game against USC, but still too inconsistent for a Junior.

Jennings: C+, Has shown nice development; he still looks uncomfortable at times during the game. He, like Booker, needs to be more assertive during the game.

D. Booker: B-, has some skills, needs to keep them under control; Once he harnesses his strength and control, he will be solid.

Noel Johnson: C, played limited minutes, but needs to seize those opportunities. He has the ability, but still needs to grow.

Baicu, Baize, Petrokunis, Hill: INC, need to see more floortime in order to make a sound judgement.

Overall: B-. The Tigers have the potential to be offensively and defensively strong. As a team and individually, they are not seizing their opportunities.

So, Tigers, Gather ye rosebuds while ye may, Old Time is still a flying.

Read more about Clemson Basketball on  The OP Blog

Go Tigers!

Post Championship thoughts

Thursday, December 10th, 2009

Before I look at the film again, and I still have to do the one for Sakerlina (oh joy), I can go ahead and tell you why we lost this game on defense: Linebackers.

We have both said this before, and its been a recurring issue all year. If you want to know why the defense gets worse as the year goes on, its two issues:1) other offensive coordinators are able to see how bad the LBs are on film and find ways to exploit it further as the year goes on, 2) talent. Those are the biggest two things.

Last night, Steele threw the Bees a new look up front. Both DTs played down, with a 1 and a 3 technique. Both DEs played in 2 point stances, and the OLBs played in a normal 5 yard-off stack alignment which at times looked like the OVER, with Maye backed up 7 yards deep. Clemson had assigned the Dive to all the Dlinemen, with the LB’s on the QB, and the secondary support as the pitch. The coverage appeared to be Cover 4, which looks like man or zone depending on what they do.

I know why he did it. Lots of people are questioning the scheme and alignment. You have to put your OLBs at a normal depth, not close to the line of scrimmage because if you scoot them up outside the DE, you give up something inside. You want your LB to be deep enough to see the Wingback outside and also into the B-gap, that’s a normal 5 yard alignment. Also you want them with more depth to play off the cut blocks. At times you saw them jump into the B-gap, and that was when the Safety was in the box to take his spot. Now, if you have a good MLB, you could possibly move one up (not both), but we don’t. Brandon Maye was backed up at 7 yards so that he could see more of the backfield and follow the play, and not get too badly out of position on misdirection plays.

The DEs were in 2 point stances because they wanted them to have their eyes up and able to see the backfield. The interior linemen were down because they have to fire off the ball to stop the dive.

The biggest problem with us last night was the LB play. They were getting blocked by the guards and tackles on the veer, and didn’t get off them. They didn’t shoot into their gap. They were late in scraping to get to the QB, and never attacked him. Last night somebody was asking about whether you can hit the QB on every play, and you can. We played tentatively, tackled worse, and the secondary was late getting up on the pitch because they were getting cracked (safety) or arc-blocked (corners) by the WR or Wingback with cut blocks. Brandon Maye is a liability.

I don’t like what Steele did; I thought he had a better plan in game 1. I would not have put the DEs in 2pt stances, because I think it contributes to them playing high with their pad level. I thought our inside guys did ok, but need to work on sticking to their keys and keeping an eye on the ball. Many times, Thompson/Jenkins blew up his blocker and was in the backfield but Dwyer was already beside him. I prefer having the best DE tandem in the conference as the force player on the QB, and let the MLB and DTs play the dive. Steele had taught them to both crash on the dive, which they didn’t do as much of in game 1. Additionally, we were being cut up front and then the GT OL grabbed the ankles of the DLinemen, so they can’t get anywhere.

But if you call for Brooks or Rumph to be fired, when Brooks only came on in March, you’re crazy. Rumph has produced here in development, Brooks has a long track record of development on the line, and both recruit very very good. The DTs played worse as the year went on and need coaching, but I believe Brooks can get this fixed. I think Thompson is a future All-ACC player minimum, but he has had ups and downs this year. If he plays an entire game for once (not taking plays off, which was G. Adams problem when he was young) I think he becomes dominant inside.

Steele coaches LBs, and I would say he is hampered by inferior talent, but I think he could do better. Conner, as I said before, has peaked. He’s better than Maye but not by much. Kevin Alexander is not a LB, he’s too slow and doesn’t have the experience there that we need at SAM. I think KA is better suited to DE. Honestly, I think Sapp would do better at OLB than KA. Pass coverage by the linebackers has been an issue all year, run stoppage has shown up more and more as a problem. We don’t have outrageous talent at LB even at 2nd string either. The staff feel like they hit on Hawkins, and I bet he plays a lot next year. Quandon Christian is another one they like. Tig Willard I expect to start. Tarik Rollins looks like a miss. Scotty Cooper will likely play a lot more again next year. They’ll have to step up or we’re in the same boat for 2010.

But I will not call for a defensive coach to get fired this year. We run a complicated scheme. It’s easy to confuse players on their keys when you give them too much to think about. Saban could not get this scheme fully-installed at Bama or LSU early, and at both places he already had some of the talent to do it, it’s just a lot for them to master when you were used to playing a soft coverage. I expected us to be worse at pass defense but Harbison has taught them pretty well how to pattern-read. I will give Steele more chance to recruit, because if we don’t get a LB in here it wont be lights-out next year, even if Maye improves.

If the defense doesn’t do better next year, barring injuries, I’ll think about calling for heads.

The offense did their job well enough to win. I am disappointed in the interior line, and how they don’t fire off the ball against a mostly-backup GT defensive line, but I already knew Brad Scott sucked. They improved this year up front, but I don’t see enough improvement to make me change my mind on his coaching.

Kyle Parker played subpar, he is young and it showed. I think we’d have a different opinion of him had we had the ball more last night, but he didn’t impress with his accuracy at all.

CJ was CJ. He had us in this game himself. Now without him, I’m not sure what we’ll have on offense next year.

In the preseason I predicted 8 wins and 2nd in the Atlantic. We did better than my expectations. Dabo has 3 years from me and I’m not going to waver on it. I can tell you now, I’m expecting 10 next season. I’m not putting up with losing. If they don’t win 10, somebody will be responsible, and I suspect it’ll be Brad.

We’ll be covering each of the coaches after the (likely) Music City rematch with Kentucky. In the meantime we’ll switch to recruiting and basketball. I’ll get to the film reviews soon.

Where we are…Post SC/Pre-GT

Thursday, December 3rd, 2009

Here we go with items that we have been following all season.  After the Tigers’ run this season, this seems like a good place to start the self-evaluation going into the Tech game.  I will evaluate the season to date overall, with an emphasis on the team’s play since visiting the “U” in October.

Toughness/Overall

This team has gotten tougher over the course of the season, and battled back many times.  Clemson kept on fighting against Miami, FSU, and withstood an early game run by Virginia.  Clemson was able to win 6 of their last 7 games and secure an Atlantic Division Championship after a disappointing 2-3 start to the season.  All and all, I am happy that this team will not give up and has fought back from adversity.  Clemson did not, however, show these traits last week against the Gamecocks, getting caught with their pants down in Columbia.

All in all, this team has improved attitude wise and aptitude wise since Tom Bowden was last running down the hill.  However, I am never pleased with the Tigers getting beat up in the trenches, as tough teams don’t get whipped up front.  Clemson has done a pretty good job down the stretch of winning battles up front, until the SC game.  SC beat Clemson all night at the point of attack.  Thus, I think this team is tougher overall, but still is not where it needs to be.  That also starts with the coaching staff.  Clemson’s offensive coaches must not have thought that the Tigers could line up and win battles up front and between the tackles (even going into the weakness of the USC defense).  If we are going to be critical of one, we have to be critical of all.  Clemson has got to get better (and meaner) up front.  I would like to see the coaches stop getting all cute on us and just line up in a running formation and try to run the ball consistently, because that is what tough teams do.

QB Play

Kyle Parker has progressed well over the course of the season (as we predicted).  Parker has all the physical skills (cannon for an arm and can move pretty well) to be a top notch QB.  It is obvious that he is progressing from week to week as he gets more comfortable in the backfield and gets better adjusted to the speed of the college game.  Parker did a better job down the stretch looking off safeties and making correct decisions.  He had a few problems last week when pressured and forced to pick apart zone coverage.  I think that we are all pretty pleased with the progression at signal caller to this point and all expect better things and fewer mistakes as KP continues to mature and gain more experience in the college game.  (We are all probably secretly hoping that Kyle does not get drafted too high this year in the baseball draft, as we are all eager to see this guy on the football field again next season).

Coaching Decisions

The players were ready to play each week but the last one, with this staff bringing home some sort of title (which is more than West, Bowden, or Hatfield post-’91 could do).  The offensive staff appeared to mature between the UMd and Carolina games, with Napier getting into a much better playcalling rhythm as Clemson rolled to 6 consecutive wins.  However, against USC as well as early in the year, this offense was choppy.  I think Napier (like Parker at QB) is still learning the ropes and sometimes tries to out-think everyone instead of putting the Tigers in a position to make basic plays.  This staff seemed to press way too early in the season finale, and it really hurt against one of the better passing defenses in America.  Clemson defensively has looked pretty good on defense.  There have been fundamental and mental lapses on the part of the players at times, but I feel the coaching staff has been prepared and made appropriate in game adjustments all season.  There are a few areas (QB keepers, Wildcat offense, etc…) that have irked me all year and the Tigers have not been able to stop.  There is improvement here and I think we are moving on the right path.  The young staff has learned a lot all year, with valuable lessons coming each week.  Moving forward, the coaches will not get passes for the team not being prepared or being too cute.  To this point, I would say the coaching is acceptable, particularly because Clemson will be in Tampa Saturday.

Kicking Game

This one has been love/hate all year.  PK Richard Jackson has shown off his leg all season, and played really well early on.  After a poor game against FSU, then another unacceptable outing by Spencer Benton against NCST.  The Virginia and USC games were ok.  Yes this team should have won more games in part due to missed FG’s.  We have to get more consistent with short/medium range kicks and extra points.  Defense and your field goal kicker can win you a lot of football games.  Kick returns all season have provided the Tigers with quite a few unexpected points.  We will surely miss the return tandem of Spiller/Ford next season, as these guys are exciting and can provide a spark on any kick return.  Kickoffs scared me at times this year, but did not seriously hurt our efforts.  The punt team has made a few mistakes.  Overall, Clemson is a lot better off with Andre Powell as dedicated special teams coordinator.

Other Items

Overall, Clemson is better offensively, particularly up front, when compared to last season.  That does not mean that Clemson is good up front, but at least has shown some improvement.  That being said, the beating that this offensive line took at the hands of the Gamecocks was unacceptable.  The line was thoroughly dominated and really had no success against the quality ends and blitzing linebackers from Columbia.  While Clemson may have been handicapped by playcalling, providing zero protection for your QB raises lots of questions, especially after I became more and more confident after several weeks of pretty good pass blocking.  Clemson refused to try to pound the ball against Carolina, but has done a better job down the stretch of opening holes for running backs, then utilizing play action.  Michael Palmer has played extremely hard all season, and is a go to guy on this offense.  Clemson still lacks at the receiver position, but is really taking advantage of Palmer’s excellent skills.  Ashe, Dye, and Ford seem to be the only reliable team members this season.

Defensively, we play hard but lack some fundamentals.  We do not wrap up particularly well and still take poor angles to the football.  We miss gap assignments and often take ourselves out of plays.  Clemson’s secondary, though, is one of the best I can remember having.  Clemson has picked a lot of passes off and has done a fine job pressuring quarterbacks.  Clemson has, though, been eaten up in various fashions with basic midline and zone read plays combined with the Wildcat formation.  Clemson must do a better job tackling and stuffing the run.

This team is better than it was last season, even though it did not look like it at times this year.  Clemson is a hungrier team with better leadership on and off the field than it was last year.  While I am not pleased with many portions of this season, there is no doubt that I like Swinney, his style, his passion a lot more than his successor.  Clemson played hard all year and continued to improve over the course of the year, which is all you can ask for out of a first year coach.  We will continually be evaluating the team and raising the bar.  I can guarantee you that fewer free passes will be given from here out.

What are everyone’s opinions on these topics?  Are we vastly improved this season?  Should we discount the shortcomings on the year, or emphasize them more?  Which direction is this team, staff, and program going?